Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 13.808031 15.833665 17.989559 20.447989 23.166633 26.073979 29.410988
2025-02-02 11.461326 14.173636 17.228920 20.901742 25.172206 29.955915 35.693551
2025-02-09 9.634819 12.715182 16.356149 20.928266 26.463991 32.896299 40.878370
2025-02-16 7.873937 11.051124 14.979257 20.112653 26.557313 34.290576 44.173433
2025-02-23 6.742791 10.003670 14.199949 19.877960 27.231173 36.297222 48.170008
2025-03-02 5.740423 8.988542 13.332224 19.405749 27.501024 37.732606 51.430849
2025-03-09 5.011329 8.252818 12.744461 19.214988 28.064711 39.497669 55.102542
2025-03-16 4.317794 7.481939 12.024685 18.763283 28.212631 40.678872 58.007845
2025-03-23 3.885355 7.046955 11.731114 18.859550 29.073146 42.790817 62.156248
2025-03-30 3.468008 6.585676 11.351822 18.789664 29.671714 44.540650 65.842834
2025-04-06 3.171654 6.284071 11.180627 18.997391 30.649306 46.814211 70.274592
2025-04-13 2.906416 6.003595 11.013988 19.188743 31.592443 49.048850 74.692299
2025-04-20 2.737532 5.874763 11.080079 19.740598 33.090229 52.117017 80.365629
2025-04-27 2.550883 5.693176 11.043065 20.121209 34.336612 54.852905 85.633236
2025-05-04 2.314046 5.391949 10.781316 20.122303 34.996743 56.750725 89.748944
2025-05-11 1.970810 4.845383 10.055760 19.322190 34.378709 56.750048 91.129998
2025-05-18 1.755651 4.523728 9.693194 19.090971 34.622983 58.008092 94.337300
2025-05-25 1.532806 4.156501 9.216419 18.632179 34.474963 58.659524 96.655147
2025-06-01 1.370224 3.895889 8.912477 18.446872 34.748745 59.941614 99.916580
2025-06-08 1.195565 3.583337 8.482359 18.009380 34.582221 60.531895 102.144396
2025-06-15 1.097473 3.434085 8.355353 18.102456 35.291155 62.483769 106.450345
2025-06-22 0.992233 3.252618 8.148484 18.034772 35.720220 64.000615 110.118601
2025-06-29 0.922077 3.148664 8.090079 18.235819 36.608403 66.256327 114.954820